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KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:3,547
Observed times shown per event
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Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?YesEnds Apr 1, 202788%
CA-29 House Election WinnerDemocratic PartyEnds in 11 days97%- Spanish general election: margin of victoryPeople's Party, 3-6%Ends Nov 29, 202725%
- FL-06 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 20-25%Ends in 11 days31%
- FL-09 House election: Darren Soto vote percentAt least 40%Ends Nov 3, 202788%
- X banned in any European country by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 202713%
- Who will Trump endorse?John Cornyn - TX-SenEnds in 11 days2%
- Iowa Governor election: Zach Lahn vote percentAt least 40%Ends Nov 3, 202798%
- Will Trump visit Trump Tower again?Before Jul 1, 2027Ends Jul 1, 202756%
- Massachusetts Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 2.00MEnds Nov 3, 202795%
- NJ-11 House Election WinnerAnalilia Mejia (D)Ends in 11 days96%
- Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas?Texas US SenateEnds Nov 1061%
- WA-08 House Election WinnerKim Schrier (D)Ends in 12 days98%
- Who will win the next Turkish presidential election?Recep Tayyip ErdoΔanEnds May 7, 203056%
- Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?YesEnds Dec 313%
- Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?YesEnds Jan 1, 202865%
- Arizona 03 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 80KEnds Nov 3, 202792%
- OH-07 House election: Brian Poindexter vote percentAt least 44%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
- Israeli Parliamentary Election: 4th PlaceThe DemocratsEnds Oct 27, 202733%
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?December 31, 2026Ends Jan 1, 20272%
- Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?Before Aug 1, 2028Ends Aug 1, 202861%
- MI-07 House election: Tom Barrett vote percentAt least 42%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
- Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?Before Jul 1, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202757%
- Hamilton County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percentAt least 58%Ends Nov 3, 202795%
- IL-03 House election: Delia Ramirez vote percentAt least 64%Ends Nov 3, 202792%
- Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?SDAEnds Oct 4, 202793%
- Tlaxcala Governor winner?Ana Lilia Rivera RiveraEnds Jun 6, 202864%
- Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percentAt least 48%Ends Nov 3, 202788%
- California 04 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 170KEnds Nov 3, 202797%
- Who will win the next Ghanaian parliamentary election?NDCEnds Dec 7, 202961%
- Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?Sheldon WhitehouseEnds Jan 8, 202854%
- NV-01 House election: Carrie Buck vote percentAt least 36%Ends Nov 3, 202793%
- Delta, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerOborevwori Sheriff Francis OrohwedorEnds Feb 7, 202767%
- Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?Before Jan 1, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202712%
- Nigerian Senate election winner?APCEnds Feb 28, 202883%
- Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?Yariv LevinEnds Oct 27, 202714%
- Will Elon register any party before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20274%
- Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percentAt least 52%Ends Nov 3, 202795%
- California 34 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 70KEnds Nov 3, 202797%
- Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerBaba WaliEnds Feb 7, 202787%
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?October 31Ends in 8 days10%
- Oaxaca Congress Election WinnerMorenaEnds Jun 7, 202786%
- Will Pennsylvania ban Flock cameras?Before Jul 1, 2027Ends Jul 1, 202741%
- MN-01 House election: Brad Finstad vote percentAt least 46%Ends Nov 3, 202795%
- Tabasco Congress Election WinnerMorenaEnds Jun 7, 202782%
- US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20274%
- Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20276%
- ID-02 House election: Elinor Gilbreath vote percentAt least 32%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20275%
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?YesEnds Jan 1, 20273%