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Economics Events

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Event

Category

Platforms

Core inflation in Mar 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Above 2.2%

99.0%

$695

$74K

—

📈 economics

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

above 6.5%

84.1%

$782

$41K

—

📈 economics

9mo

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed maintains rate

86.0%

$815

$31K

—

📈 economics

3mo

More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?

Yes

50.0%

$950

$18K

—

📈 economics

10mo

Gold price on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

above 4026.99

99.0%

$1K

$6K

—

📈 economics

25d

CPI in May

Above -0.1%

81.0%

$839

$18K

—

📈 economics

2mo

South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

Down

100.0%

$775

$20K

—

📈 economics

Ended

How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?

Below $2.20

43.0%

$656

$33K

—

📈 economics

8mo

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Yes

12.5%

$600

$38K

—

📈 economics

8mo

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

Above $4.20

98.0%

$901

$8K

#10

—

📈 economics

8mo

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.5%

86.5%

$324

$170K

#11

—

📈 economics

8mo

CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026?

Exactly 1.0%

47.5%

$286

$212K

#12

—

📈 economics

1mo

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

More than $900 Billion

84.0%

$319

$132K

#13

—

📈 economics

9mo

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

0 cuts

83.0%

$283

$175K

#14

—

📈 economics

9mo

Japan inflation rate MoM for March

Above -0.1%

94.0%

$384

$42K

#15

—

📈 economics

11d

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Cuts

62.0%

$325

$70K

#16

—

📈 economics

9mo

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

Before 2027

24.0%

$285

$104K

#17

—

📈 economics

9mo

Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.4% in Q1 2026?

Below 5.4%

4.0%

$225

$161K

#18

—

📈 economics

1mo

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Above 2.75%

69.0%

$354

$34K

#19

—

📈 economics

8mo

Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 2.7%

99.0%

$400

$20K

#20

—

📈 economics

1mo

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Above 0.00%

84.0%

$309

$46K

#21

—

📈 economics

12mo

Fed rate hike by...?

September Meeting

27.5%

$380

$23K

#22

—

📈 economics

8mo

How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?

Above $900

87.0%

$404

$17K

#23

—

📈 economics

9mo

Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

Kevin Warsh

54.0%

$220

$99K

#24

—

📈 economics

2mo

US housing starts for March 2026

Above 1.325M

26.0%

$401

$13K

#25

—

📈 economics

11d

Copper price on Apr 5, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

above 5.40

98.0%

$440

$7K

#26

—

📈 economics

Inflation in May 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 3.1%

99.0%

$338

$12K

#27

—

📈 economics

2mo

Argentina inflation rate MoM for March

Above 2.5%

88.0%

$417

$6K

#28

—

📈 economics

European Central Bank rate decision in April

Maintain current rate

78.0%

$354

$8K

#29

—

📈 economics

24d

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

3.9%

65.6%

$141

$181K

#30

—

📈 economics

8mo

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause

85.0%

$89

$721K

#31

—

📈 economics

2mo

US building permits for March 2026

Above 1.250M

80.0%

$356

$6K

#32

—

📈 economics

11d

Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?

Before 2026

16.0%

$188

$51K

#33

—

📈 economics

3mo

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Yes

9.3%

$152

$103K

#34

—

📈 economics

2mo

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

Above $5.90

99.0%

$181

$53K

#35

—

📈 economics

8mo

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

United Kingdom

74.1%

$132

$124K

#36

—

📈 economics

21mo

How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?

Above 0.0%

99.0%

$114

$170K

#37

—

📈 economics

1mo

Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?

Red Squirrel

81.0%

$205

$23K

#38

—

📈 economics

6mo

How low will gas prices in New York get this year?

Below $2.70

51.0%

$261

$9K

#39

—

📈 economics

8mo

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Above 5%

88.0%

$232

$13K

#40

—

📈 economics

45mo

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Soft landing

36.5%

$188

$16K

#41

—

📈 economics

9mo

When will the next US recession start?

Q1 2026

13.5%

$65

$474K

#42

—

📈 economics

8mo

US airline fares CPI for March 2026

Above 280.0

99.0%

$252

$5K

#43

—

📈 economics

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?

Before May 1, 2027

15.0%

$146

$31K

#44

—

📈 economics

14mo

Jobs numbers in Apr 2026?

Above -25,000

80.0%

$193

$11K

#45

—

📈 economics

1mo

Canada recession before 2027?

Yes

40.5%

$114

$54K

#46

—

📈 economics

8mo

Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?

In 2026

72.0%

$83

$90K

#47

—

📈 economics

9mo

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

0.3-0.6%

34.4%

$124

$22K

#48

—

📈 economics

1mo

What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

Between 10% and 19.99%

65.0%

$174

$7K

#49

—

📈 economics

2mo

How much will core PCE increase in Mar 2026?

Above 0.0%

94.5%

$180

$5K

#50

—

📈 economics

24d

Sort:

Core inflation in Mar 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

📈 economics

Odds

99.0%

Vol

$74K

24H Vol

$695

Trend

How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?

📈 economics

Odds

84.1%

Vol

$41K

24H Vol

$782

Trend

9mo

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

86.0%

Vol

$31K

24H Vol

$815

Trend

3mo

More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?

📈 economics

Odds

50.0%

Vol

$18K

24H Vol

$950

Trend

10mo

Gold price on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

📈 economics

Odds

99.0%

Vol

$6K

24H Vol

$1K

Trend

25d

CPI in May

📈 economics

Odds

81.0%

Vol

$18K

24H Vol

$839

Trend

2mo

South Korean Unemployment Up/Down in February?

📈 economics

Odds

100.0%

Vol

$20K

24H Vol

$775

Trend

Ended

How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?

📈 economics

Odds

43.0%

Vol

$33K

24H Vol

$656

Trend

8mo

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

📈 economics

Odds

12.5%

Vol

$38K

24H Vol

$600

Trend

8mo

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

98.0%

Vol

$8K

24H Vol

$901

Trend

#10

8mo

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

📈 economics

Odds

86.5%

Vol

$170K

24H Vol

$324

Trend

#11

8mo

CPI month-over-month in Apr 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

47.5%

Vol

$212K

24H Vol

$286

Trend

#12

1mo

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

📈 economics

Odds

84.0%

Vol

$132K

24H Vol

$319

Trend

#13

9mo

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

83.0%

Vol

$175K

24H Vol

$283

Trend

#14

9mo

Japan inflation rate MoM for March

📈 economics

Odds

94.0%

Vol

$42K

24H Vol

$384

Trend

#15

11d

Fed rate cut before 2027?

📈 economics

Odds

62.0%

Vol

$70K

24H Vol

$325

Trend

#16

9mo

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

📈 economics

Odds

24.0%

Vol

$104K

24H Vol

$285

Trend

#17

9mo

Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.4% in Q1 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

4.0%

Vol

$161K

24H Vol

$225

Trend

#18

1mo

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

📈 economics

Odds

69.0%

Vol

$34K

24H Vol

$354

Trend

#19

8mo

Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)

📈 economics

Odds

99.0%

Vol

$20K

24H Vol

$400

Trend

#20

1mo

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

📈 economics

Odds

84.0%

Vol

$46K

24H Vol

$309

Trend

#21

12mo

Fed rate hike by...?

📈 economics

Odds

27.5%

Vol

$23K

24H Vol

$380

Trend

#22

8mo

How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?

📈 economics

Odds

87.0%

Vol

$17K

24H Vol

$404

Trend

#23

9mo

Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?

📈 economics

Odds

54.0%

Vol

$99K

24H Vol

$220

Trend

#24

2mo

US housing starts for March 2026

📈 economics

Odds

26.0%

Vol

$13K

24H Vol

$401

Trend

#25

11d

Copper price on Apr 5, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

📈 economics

Odds

98.0%

Vol

$7K

24H Vol

$440

Trend

#26

Inflation in May 2026 (CPI YoY)

📈 economics

Odds

99.0%

Vol

$12K

24H Vol

$338

Trend

#27

2mo

Argentina inflation rate MoM for March

📈 economics

Odds

88.0%

Vol

$6K

24H Vol

$417

Trend

#28

European Central Bank rate decision in April

📈 economics

Odds

78.0%

Vol

$8K

24H Vol

$354

Trend

#29

24d

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

📈 economics

Odds

65.6%

Vol

$181K

24H Vol

$141

Trend

#30

8mo

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

📈 economics

Odds

85.0%

Vol

$721K

24H Vol

$89

Trend

#31

2mo

US building permits for March 2026

📈 economics

Odds

80.0%

Vol

$6K

24H Vol

$356

Trend

#32

11d

Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?

📈 economics

Odds

16.0%

Vol

$51K

24H Vol

$188

Trend

#33

3mo

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

📈 economics

Odds

9.3%

Vol

$103K

24H Vol

$152

Trend

#34

2mo

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

📈 economics

Odds

99.0%

Vol

$53K

24H Vol

$181

Trend

#35

8mo

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

📈 economics

Odds

74.1%

Vol

$124K

24H Vol

$132

Trend

#36

21mo

How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

99.0%

Vol

$170K

24H Vol

$114

Trend

#37

1mo

Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?

📈 economics

Odds

81.0%

Vol

$23K

24H Vol

$205

Trend

#38

6mo

How low will gas prices in New York get this year?

📈 economics

Odds

51.0%

Vol

$9K

24H Vol

$261

Trend

#39

8mo

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

📈 economics

Odds

88.0%

Vol

$13K

24H Vol

$232

Trend

#40

45mo

State of the economy at the end of 2026

📈 economics

Odds

36.5%

Vol

$16K

24H Vol

$188

Trend

#41

9mo

When will the next US recession start?

📈 economics

Odds

13.5%

Vol

$474K

24H Vol

$65

Trend

#42

8mo

US airline fares CPI for March 2026

📈 economics

Odds

99.0%

Vol

$5K

24H Vol

$252

Trend

#43

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?

📈 economics

Odds

15.0%

Vol

$31K

24H Vol

$146

Trend

#44

14mo

Jobs numbers in Apr 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

80.0%

Vol

$11K

24H Vol

$193

Trend

#45

1mo

Canada recession before 2027?

📈 economics

Odds

40.5%

Vol

$54K

24H Vol

$114

Trend

#46

8mo

Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

72.0%

Vol

$90K

24H Vol

$83

Trend

#47

9mo

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

34.4%

Vol

$22K

24H Vol

$124

Trend

#48

1mo

What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

📈 economics

Odds

65.0%

Vol

$7K

24H Vol

$174

Trend

#49

2mo

How much will core PCE increase in Mar 2026?

📈 economics

Odds

94.5%

Vol

$5K

24H Vol

$180

Trend

#50

24d