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PolymarketTotal Events:489Observed times shown per event
KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:489
Observed times shown per event
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489 results · 201–250Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Second-best AI Lab end of December? 📊 Ai_tech | Google 35% | $360 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
46% to 48% 61% | $360 | in 6 days | View | |
Anthropic 37% | $357 | Dec 1 | View | |
October 31 10% | $345 | in 9 days | View | |
 Top AI model this month 📊 Ai_tech | gemini-4-argon-high 86% | $338 | in 8 days | Compare |
Anthropic 61% | $337 | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Above $205 98% | $335 | Apr 27, 2027 | View | |
Meta 80% | $332 | in 8 days | View | |
ChatGPT Full Outage by...? 📊 Ai_tech | November 30 17% | $320 | in 9 days | View |
Meta headcount in 2026 📊 Ai_tech | Above 65000 96% | $311 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
December 31, 2027 61% | $310 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
CATL 20% | $306 | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Muse on Meta glasses by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 73% | $302 | in 9 days | View |
November 30 85% | $297 | in 9 days | View | |
Above 180 million 99% | $292 | Mar 31, 2028 | View | |
Erling Braut Haaland 78% | $289 | Dec 31 | View | |
Anthropic 74% | $288 | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Alibaba 27% | $285 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Before Jan 1, 2028 63% | $277 | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
Above 780 thousand 93% | $277 | Mar 31, 2028 | View | |
Health / Healthy 81% | $273 | Nov 9 | View | |
$8.5B 69% | $270 | in 11 days | View | |
Tesla Optimus released this year? 📊 Ai_tech | Before 2027 6% | $262 | Dec 31 | View |
Rubin (3+ times) 92% | $260 | Dec 2 | View | |
60%+ 33% | $253 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Dolly Parton 61% | $250 | Dec 31 | View | |
#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026? 📊 Ai_tech | Stranger Things 32% | $243 | Dec 31 | View |
400k to 425k 35% | $240 | Mar 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Second-best AI Lab end of November? 📊 Ai_tech | Anthropic 41% | $239 | Dec 1 | View |
Anthropic 72% | $230 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
$120 90% | $229 | in 11h | View | |
1560 45% | $222 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Microsoft 13% | $221 | in 9 days | View | |
November 30 72% | $220 | in 9 days | View | |
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap 📊 Ai_tech | 600B+ 96% | $211 | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
<$320 48% | $210 | in 11h | View | |
60%+ 20% | $206 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 88% | $205 | Nov 30 | View |
Anthropic 79% | $204 | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai) 📊 Ai_tech | Claude 95% | $203 | in 8 days | View |
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 27% | $200 | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
50%+ 52% | $196 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic 34% | $190 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
$6.50+ 22% | $190 | Dec 1 | View | |
$1.00-$1.25 43% | $189 | Dec 1 | View | |
December 31, 2027 38% | $187 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap 📊 Ai_tech | No IPO before January 2027 95% | $185 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
OpenAI 94% | $183 | in 9 days | Compare | |
Muse Charm released by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 80% | $181 | Dec 16 | View |
No release by October 31 94% | $181 | in 15h | View |
- Second-best AI Lab end of December?Google$360 todayEnds Jan 1, 202735%
- Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?46% to 48%$360 todayEnds in 6 days61%
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?Anthropic$357 todayEnds Dec 137%
- Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?October 31$345 todayEnds in 9 days10%
- Top AI model this monthgemini-4-argon-high$338 todayEnds in 8 days86%
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?Anthropic$337 todayEnds Dec 161%
- Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026Above $205$335 todayEnds Apr 27, 202798%
- Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?Meta$332 todayEnds in 8 days80%
- ChatGPT Full Outage by...?November 30$320 todayEnds in 9 days17%
- Meta headcount in 2026Above 65000$311 todayEnds Mar 31, 202896%
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?December 31, 2027$310 todayEnds Jan 1, 202761%
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CATL$306 todayEnds Jul 1, 202720%
- Muse on Meta glasses by...?December 31$302 todayEnds in 9 days73%
- Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?November 30$297 todayEnds in 9 days85%
- United Airlines passengers flown in 2026Above 180 million$292 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
- Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026Erling Braut Haaland$289 todayEnds Dec 3178%
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?Anthropic$288 todayEnds Dec 174%
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?Alibaba$285 todayEnds Jan 1, 202727%
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?Before Jan 1, 2028$277 todayEnds Jan 1, 202863%
- Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026Above 780 thousand$277 todayEnds Mar 31, 202893%
- What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World keynote?Health / Healthy$273 todayEnds Nov 981%
- Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above __?$8.5B$270 todayEnds in 11 days69%
- Tesla Optimus released this year?Before 2027$262 todayEnds Dec 316%
- What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?Rubin (3+ times)$260 todayEnds Dec 292%
- Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?60%+$253 todayEnds Jan 1, 202733%
- #1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?Dolly Parton$250 todayEnds Dec 3161%
- #1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?Stranger Things$243 todayEnds Dec 3132%
- How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?400k to 425k$240 todayEnds Mar 1, 202735%
- Second-best AI Lab end of November?Anthropic$239 todayEnds Dec 141%
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?Anthropic$230 todayEnds Jan 1, 202772%
- Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of October 19 above___?$120$229 todayEnds in 11h90%
- Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?1560$222 todayEnds Jan 1, 202745%
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?Microsoft$221 todayEnds in 9 days13%
- Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?November 30$220 todayEnds in 9 days72%
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap600B+$211 todayEnds Jan 1, 202896%
- Apple (AAPL) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?<$320$210 todayEnds in 11h48%
- Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?60%+$206 todayEnds Jan 1, 202720%
- Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?December 31$205 todayEnds Nov 3088%
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?Anthropic$204 todayEnds Dec 179%
- Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)Claude$203 todayEnds in 8 days95%
- NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$200 todayEnds Jan 1, 202827%
- Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?50%+$196 todayEnds Jan 1, 202752%
- #2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)Anthropic$190 todayEnds Jan 1, 202734%
- GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?$6.50+$190 todayEnds Dec 122%
- GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?$1.00-$1.25$189 todayEnds Dec 143%
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027$187 todayEnds Jan 1, 202738%
- SB Energy IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO before January 2027$185 todayEnds Jan 1, 202795%
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?OpenAI$183 todayEnds in 9 days94%
- Muse Charm released by...?December 31$181 todayEnds Dec 1680%
- Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?No release by October 31$181 todayEnds in 15h94%