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PolymarketTotal Events:360Observed times shown per event
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PolymarketTotal Events:360
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| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Alibaba 47% | $3K | in 9 days | View |
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1500+ 94% | $2K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
Anthropic 75% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? π Ai_tech | Yes 94% | $2K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
OpenRouter token usage week of October 19? π Ai_tech | 185-195T 51% | $2K | in 3 days | View |
December 31, 2027 64% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
β $45 55% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Best Chinese AI Company end of November? π Ai_tech | Alibaba 33% | $2K | Dec 1 | View |
SSI public model released byβ¦? π Ai_tech | December 31 38% | $2K | in 9 days | Compare |
Hodge Conjecture 36% | $2K | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
Anthropic 88% | $2K | in 9 days | Compare | |
Google 61% | $2K | in 9 days | Compare | |
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1430+ 88% | $2K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026? π Ai_tech | 400k to 425k 20% | $2K | Mar 1, 2027 | Compare |
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026? π Ai_tech | 5+ 99% | $2K | in 9 days | View |
Appleβs Market Cap end of 2026? π Ai_tech | $5.00-$5.50T 38% | $2K | Dec 31 | View |
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November? π Ai_tech | $0.65-$0.70 27% | $2K | Dec 1 | View |
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace 22% | $2K | in 21h | View | |
β $15 62% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 25% | $2K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Yes 98% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
October 26βNovember 1 25% | $1K | in 4 days | View | |
CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...? π Ai_tech | March 31, 2027 33% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
β $15 42% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic 79% | $1K | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? π Ai_tech | Yes 7% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October? π Ai_tech | $5.50+ 67% | $1K | in 9 days | View |
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On) π Ai_tech | Meta 36% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1440+ 62% | $1K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
Claude 6 released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 91% | $1K | Mar 31, 2027 | View |
40%+ 23% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
70% 73% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026? π Ai_tech | Lindsay Clancy 34% | $1K | Dec 31 | View |
46% to 48% 61% | $1K | in 6 days | View | |
Anthropic 86% | $1K | in 9 days | Compare | |
Second-best AI Lab end of October? π Ai_tech | Anthropic 84% | $1K | in 9 days | View |
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October? π Ai_tech | $1.00-$1.25 72% | $1K | in 9 days | View |
Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __? π Ai_tech | $2.5B 93% | $1K | Dec 1 | View |
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026? π Ai_tech | β $3.75 53% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Highest score on Humanityβs Last Exam in 2026? π Ai_tech | 58%+ 70% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Google 41% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 83% | $1K | Nov 16 | View |
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November? π Ai_tech | Google 38% | $1K | Dec 1 | View |
MiniMax 71% | $1K | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Meta 22% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Longest GitHub critical incident in October? π Ai_tech | 3-6 hours 83% | $1K | in 9 days | View |
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace 66% | $1K | in 21h | View | |
1575 39% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On) π Ai_tech | Meta 51% | $1K | Dec 1 | View |
Nvidiaβs Market Cap end of 2026? π Ai_tech | $5.50-$6.00T 28% | $1K | Dec 31 | View |
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Alibaba$3K todayEnds in 9 days47%
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?1500+$2K todayEnds Jul 1, 202794%
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Anthropic$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202775%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Yes$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202894%
OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?185-195T$2K todayEnds in 3 days51%
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202764%
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?β $45$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202755%
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?Alibaba$2K todayEnds Dec 133%
SSI public model released by�December 31$2K todayEnds in 9 days38%
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?Hodge Conjecture$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202836%
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Anthropic$2K todayEnds in 9 days88%
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?Google$2K todayEnds in 9 days61%
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?1430+$2K todayEnds Jul 1, 202788%
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?400k to 425k$2K todayEnds Mar 1, 202720%
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?5+$2K todayEnds in 9 days99%
Appleβs Market Cap end of 2026?$5.00-$5.50T$2K todayEnds Dec 3138%
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?$0.65-$0.70$2K todayEnds Dec 127%
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace$2K todayEnds in 21h22%
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?β $15$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202762%
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202825%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202798%
When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?October 26βNovember 1$1K todayEnds in 4 days25%
CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?March 31, 2027$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202733%
What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?β $15$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202742%
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?Anthropic$1K todayEnds Dec 179%
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?$5.50+$1K todayEnds in 9 days67%
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)Meta$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202736%
Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?1440+$1K todayEnds Jul 1, 202762%
Claude 6 released by...?December 31, 2027$1K todayEnds Mar 31, 202791%
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanityβs Last Exam Debut?40%+$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202723%
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?70%$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202773%
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?Lindsay Clancy$1K todayEnds Dec 3134%
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?46% to 48%$1K todayEnds in 6 days61%
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?Anthropic$1K todayEnds in 9 days86%
Second-best AI Lab end of October?Anthropic$1K todayEnds in 9 days84%
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?$1.00-$1.25$1K todayEnds in 9 days72%
Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __?$2.5B$1K todayEnds Dec 193%
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?β $3.75$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202753%
Highest score on Humanityβs Last Exam in 2026?58%+$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202770%
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?Google$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202741%
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?December 31$1K todayEnds Nov 1683%
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?Google$1K todayEnds Dec 138%
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?MiniMax$1K todayEnds Dec 171%
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?Meta$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202722%
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?3-6 hours$1K todayEnds in 9 days83%
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace$1K todayEnds in 21h66%
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?1575$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202739%
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)Meta$1K todayEnds Dec 151%
Nvidiaβs Market Cap end of 2026?$5.50-$6.00T$1K todayEnds Dec 3128%