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PolymarketTotal Events:2,888Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:2,888
Observed times shown per event
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Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?Gadi Eisenkot$42 todayEnds Jan 1, 204557%
When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?Before Mar 1, 2027$42 todayEnds Mar 1, 202742%
New Mexico Senate margin of victoryLujΓ‘n, 13+ pts$42 todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%
Mississippi Senate election: Scott Colom vote percentAt least 34%$41 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Alabama Senate winner?Barry Moore$41 todayEnds Nov 3, 202799%
Delaware Senate winner?Chris Coons$41 todayEnds Nov 3, 202798%
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?Yes$40 todayEnds Mar 1, 20271%
Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?Before Jan 2028$36 todayEnds Jan 1, 202873%
Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote percentAt least 46%$36 todayEnds Nov 3, 202778%
Argentina presidential election: first round winner?Javier Milei$36 todayEnds Oct 23, 202863%
Florida Governor election: Byron Donalds vote percentAt least 44%$35 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?At least 1$35 todayEnds Jan 21, 202971%
Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?Itamar Ben-Gvir$35 todayEnds Oct 27, 202717%
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?Yes$34 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?Yes$34 todayEnds Mar 1, 202814%
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?Before 2029$33 todayEnds Jan 20, 202910%
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?Before 2030$33 todayEnds Jan 1, 203037%
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?Exactly 1$33 todayEnds Jan 8, 202788%
Idaho Governor winner?Brad Little$33 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Will data center power-cost standards become law?Before Jul 1, 2027$31 todayEnds Jan 1, 202743%
When will Trump rename an ocean?Before Dec 1, 2026$30 todayEnds Dec 18%
Who will be Latviaβs Prime Minister after the election?Andris Kulbergs$29 todayEnds Oct 3, 202788%
Will Putin visit the U.S. in 2026?Before Jan 1, 2028$29 todayEnds Jan 8, 202752%
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?Before Feb 1, 2027$28 todayEnds Feb 1, 202787%
Aguascalientes Governor winner?Leo MontaΓ±ez$28 todayEnds Jun 6, 202838%
Idaho Senate election: Todd Achilles vote percentAt least 30%$28 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
New Mexico Governor election: Deb Haaland vote percentAt least 48%$28 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Florida Senate winner? (2028)Republican party$28 todayEnds Nov 7, 202988%
Will Iowa vote to require a two-thirds vote to raise the income tax?Yes$27 todayEnds Nov 2, 202748%
Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?Michael Malchieli$27 todayEnds Oct 27, 202711%
Illinois Governor margin of victoryPritzker, 6+ pts$27 todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Ohio Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.70M$26 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
When will Trump rename something else?Before Apr 1, 2027$26 todayEnds Apr 1, 202766%
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?Before Nov 3, 2026$25 todayEnds in 10 days46%
Will Netanyahu be arrested?Before Jan 1, 2027$25 todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%
Will France enact its 2027 budget in 2026?Yes$25 todayEnds Jan 1, 202747%
Mississippi Governor winner? (2027)Republican$25 todayEnds Nov 1, 202889%
Washington County, Ohio: Jon Husted vote percentAt least 56%$25 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Travis County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 72%$25 todayEnds Nov 3, 202792%
Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor winner?Sabina Matos$25 todayEnds Nov 3, 202767%
Maryland Governor margin of victoryMoore, 18+ pts$24 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?Before Feb 1, 2028$24 todayEnds Feb 1, 202839%
How high will gas prices in New York get this year?Above $4.80$24 todayEnds Dec 3139%
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump$23 todayEnds Jan 1, 20276%
Acre Governor winner?Mailza Assis$22 todayEnds Oct 4, 202798%
Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 48%$22 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?2$22 todayEnds Dec 1538%
Will Mamdani tax billionaires before 2027?Yes$21 todayEnds Jan 1, 20275%
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)Republican party$21 todayEnds Nov 7, 202976%
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?Samuel Alito$21 todayEnds Jan 20, 202965%