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PolymarketTotal Events:489
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| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Third-best AI Lab end of October? π Ai_tech | Meta 92% | $65 | in 8 days | View |
Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026 π Ai_tech | The Odyssey 94% | $63 | Dec 31 | View |
OpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22? π Ai_tech | 725-775T 42% | $63 | Nov 23 | View |
$49B 87% | $60 | in 5 days | View | |
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026? π Ai_tech | <14 78% | $59 | in 9 days | Compare |
December 31, 2026 27% | $59 | in 9 days | View | |
Before 2027 3% | $58 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026? π Ai_tech | Dolly Parton 61% | $57 | Dec 31 | View |
Tesla total deliveries in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 1.6 million 99% | $55 | Mar 31, 2028 | Compare |
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Mac revenue be above __? π Ai_tech | $9B 87% | $55 | in 11 days | View |
50%+ 51% | $54 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 4320 97% | $54 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 2% | $51 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
None in 2026 66% | $50 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
JIO Platforms IPO by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 100% | $50 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Yes 10% | $49 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
April 30, 2027 34% | $48 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Will xAI release a video game before 2027? π Ai_tech | Video Game 9% | $48 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
β$1.475T 45% | $42 | in 9 days | View | |
October 31 17% | $40 | in 9 days | View | |
Yes 36% | $40 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic 50% | $40 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Google 50% | $40 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
GPU rental prices (B200) end of November? π Ai_tech | $9.00+ 48% | $40 | Dec 1 | View |
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 5% | $40 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 180 million 99% | $37 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __? π Ai_tech | $320M 77% | $34 | Dec 2 | View |
Before 2030 20% | $33 | Jan 1, 2030 | View | |
Dolly Parton 96% | $33 | Dec 31 | View | |
Anthropic 92% | $31 | in 8 days | Compare | |
Next DeepSeek Pro released by...? π Ai_tech | November 30 16% | $31 | in 9 days | View |
OpenAI 79% | $30 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Human moon landing in 2026? π Ai_tech | Yes 2% | $30 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 32% | $30 | in 9 days | View |
β 1540 50% | $29 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Meta family daily active people in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 3.66 billion 90% | $28 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? π Ai_tech | Hodge Conjecture 24% | $25 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above $84 billion 99% | $25 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
November 30 56% | $25 | in 9 days | View | |
Next Gemini Argon released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 30% | $24 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Google 81% | $24 | in 8 days | Compare | |
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch byβ¦? π Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 87% | $24 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX? π Ai_tech | Before 2030 60% | $23 | Jan 1, 2030 | View |
Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin? π Ai_tech | 85% to 87.5% 82% | $22 | Dec 23 | View |
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __? π Ai_tech | $20B 85% | $20 | Dec 10 | View |
Yes 9% | $20 | Dec 1 | View | |
OpenAI 7% | $20 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Bloomberg IPO by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 39% | $20 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 80% | $20 | in 9 days | View |
What flavors will JUUL relaunch? π Ai_tech | Mint 8% | $20 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Third-best AI Lab end of October?Meta$65 todayEnds in 8 days92%
Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026The Odyssey$63 todayEnds Dec 3194%
OpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22?725-775T$63 todayEnds Nov 2342%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above __?$49B$60 todayEnds in 5 days87%
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?<14$59 todayEnds in 9 days78%
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?December 31, 2026$59 todayEnds in 9 days27%
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?Before 2027$58 todayEnds Jan 1, 20273%
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?Dolly Parton$57 todayEnds Dec 3161%
Tesla total deliveries in 2026Above 1.6 million$55 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Mac revenue be above __?$9B$55 todayEnds in 11 days87%
Highest Meta score on Humanityβs Last Exam in 2026?50%+$54 todayEnds Jan 1, 202751%
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026Above 4320$54 todayEnds Mar 31, 202897%
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Before 2027$51 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?None in 2026$50 todayEnds Jan 1, 202766%
JIO Platforms IPO by...?December 31$50 todayEnds Jan 1, 2027100%
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Yes$49 todayEnds Jan 1, 202710%
Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...?April 30, 2027$48 todayEnds Jan 1, 202734%
Will xAI release a video game before 2027?Video Game$48 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will Anthropicβs valuation hit __ by October 31?β$1.475T$42 todayEnds in 9 days45%
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?October 31$40 todayEnds in 9 days17%
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?Yes$40 todayEnds Jan 1, 202736%
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?Anthropic$40 todayEnds Jan 1, 202750%
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)Google$40 todayEnds Jan 1, 202750%
GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?$9.00+$40 todayEnds Dec 148%
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?Before 2027$40 todayEnds Jan 1, 20275%
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026Above 180 million$37 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?$320M$34 todayEnds Dec 277%
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?Before 2030$33 todayEnds Jan 1, 203020%
Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google in the US 2026Dolly Parton$33 todayEnds Dec 3196%
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?Anthropic$31 todayEnds in 8 days92%
Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?November 30$31 todayEnds in 9 days16%
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?OpenAI$30 todayEnds Jan 1, 202779%
Human moon landing in 2026?Yes$30 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?December 31$30 todayEnds in 9 days32%
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?β 1540$29 todayEnds Jan 1, 202750%
Meta family daily active people in 2026Above 3.66 billion$28 todayEnds Mar 31, 202890%
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?Hodge Conjecture$25 todayEnds Jan 1, 202724%
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026Above $84 billion$25 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?November 30$25 todayEnds in 9 days56%
Next Gemini Argon released by...?December 31$24 todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Google$24 todayEnds in 8 days81%
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by�June 30, 2027$24 todayEnds Jan 1, 202787%
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?Before 2030$23 todayEnds Jan 1, 203060%
Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?85% to 87.5%$22 todayEnds Dec 2382%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?$20B$20 todayEnds Dec 1085%
Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?Yes$20 todayEnds Dec 19%
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?OpenAI$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
Bloomberg IPO by...?December 31, 2027$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 202739%
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?December 31$20 todayEnds in 9 days80%
What flavors will JUUL relaunch?Mint$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%