Politics Events
Market dataExplore markets from
Kalshi&
PolymarketTotal Events:5,310Observed times shown per event
KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:5,310
Observed times shown per event
All categories🏛️ Politics📈 Economics⚽ Sports₿ Crypto📊 AI / Tech🌍 World🎭 Culture📊 Climate🔬 Science📊 Other
5,310 results · 51–100Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Save America Act 93% | $99K | Nov 10 | Compare | |
 Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 🏛️ Politics | Donald Trump 9% | $99K | Apr 1, 2028 | View |
 Blue wave in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 83% | $98K | Feb 1, 2027 | Compare |
Ohio Senate Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Sherrod Brown (D) 70% | $92K | in 12 days | View |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 2% | $91K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Next Press Secretary announced by...? 🏛️ Politics | December 31 59% | $86K | in 9 days | Compare |
Georgia Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Jon Ossoff 96% | $85K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? 🏛️ Politics | December 31, 2027 72% | $85K | in 9 days | View |
Transgender 98% | $84K | Nov 7 | Compare | |
North Carolina Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Roy Cooper 96% | $82K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Yes 74% | $82K | in 12 days | View | |
>240 99% | $79K | in 3 days | Compare | |
Ric Grenell 68% | $77K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Jared Kushner 35% | $74K | Dec 31 | View | |
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? 🏛️ Politics | December 31 73% | $73K | in 9 days | View |
Iran leader end of 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei 86% | $70K | Dec 31 | View |
Trump's approval rating on Oct 23, 2026? 🏛️ Politics | 38.4 to 38.6 43% | $65K | in 16h | Compare |
Democrats, 8 to 10% 25% | $63K | Nov 3, 2027 | View | |
Texas Senate: Exact outcome 🏛️ Politics | Talarico defeats Paxton 64% | $61K | Jan 3, 2028 | View |
Iowa Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Ashley Hinson 59% | $59K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Texas Senate margin of victory 🏛️ Politics | Ken Paxton, 1+ pts 30% | $58K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 65% | $57K | in 12 days | View | |
Above 1 99% | $56K | Nov 7 | View | |
Next leader out of power before 2027? 🏛️ Politics | None before 2027 47% | $54K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Iran leadership change by...? 🏛️ Politics | June 30, 2027 25% | $54K | in 9 days | View |
No Hormuz Agreement 89% | $54K | in 12 days | View | |
Mississippi Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Cindy Hyde-Smith 91% | $54K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Yes 8% | $50K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Closest Senate race in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Iowa 16% | $50K | Jan 3, 2027 | View |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 6% | $50K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Blue tsunami in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 60% | $50K | Feb 1, 2027 | Compare |
Alaska Governor Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 88% | $49K | in 12 days | View |
New Hampshire Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Chris Pappas 90% | $49K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Colorado Governor winner? 🏛️ Politics | Phil Weiser 97% | $49K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Taipei mayoral election winner? 🏛️ Politics | Chiang Wan-an 61% | $47K | Nov 28, 2027 | View |
VA-05 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | John McGuire (R) 63% | $47K | in 12 days | View |
Transgender 97% | $47K | Nov 6 | Compare | |
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 61% | $47K | in 12 days | View | |
France declares state of emergency by...? 🏛️ Politics | December 31 19% | $45K | in 9 days | Compare |
December 31 14% | $43K | in 9 days | View | |
Arizona Governor winner? 🏛️ Politics | Katie Hobbs 92% | $42K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
65-89 44% | $41K | in 2 days | View | |
Israel Election: Likud # of seats? 🏛️ Politics | 20-24 42% | $40K | in 5 days | View |
Texas Governor margin of victory 🏛️ Politics | Abbott, 1+ pts 65% | $39K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...? 🏛️ Politics | December 31 25% | $38K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Texas Governor-Senate combo 🏛️ Politics | Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win 38% | $38K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Montana Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Kurt Alme 93% | $37K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Vermont Governor winner? 🏛️ Politics | Phil Scott 75% | $34K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
MO-02 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Ann Wagner (R) 65% | $33K | in 12 days | Compare |
Florida Senate margin of victory 🏛️ Politics | Moody, 2+ pts 91% | $32K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
- What will Trump say during his rally in Waco, Texas?Save America Act$99K todayEnds Nov 1093%
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027Donald Trump$99K todayEnds Apr 1, 20289%
- Blue wave in 2026?Yes$98K todayEnds Feb 1, 202783%
- Ohio Senate Election WinnerSherrod Brown (D)$92K todayEnds in 12 days70%
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes$91K todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
- Next Press Secretary announced by...?December 31$86K todayEnds in 9 days59%
- Georgia Senate winner?Jon Ossoff$85K todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?December 31, 2027$85K todayEnds in 9 days72%
- What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?Transgender$84K todayEnds Nov 798%
- North Carolina Senate winner?Roy Cooper$82K todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes$82K todayEnds in 12 days74%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/18-10/24)>240$79K todayEnds in 3 days99%
- Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?Ric Grenell$77K todayEnds Jan 1, 202768%
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Jared Kushner$74K todayEnds Dec 3135%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?December 31$73K todayEnds in 9 days73%
- Iran leader end of 2026?Mojtaba Khamenei$70K todayEnds Dec 3186%
- Trump's approval rating on Oct 23, 2026?38.4 to 38.6$65K todayEnds in 16h43%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10%$63K todayEnds Nov 3, 202725%
- Texas Senate: Exact outcomeTalarico defeats Paxton$61K todayEnds Jan 3, 202864%
- Iowa Senate winner?Ashley Hinson$59K todayEnds Nov 3, 202759%
- Texas Senate margin of victoryKen Paxton, 1+ pts$58K todayEnds Nov 3, 202730%
- Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?Oil ≥ $80; D Senate$57K todayEnds in 12 days65%
- How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24)Above 1$56K todayEnds Nov 799%
- Next leader out of power before 2027?None before 2027$54K todayEnds Jan 1, 202747%
- Iran leadership change by...?June 30, 2027$54K todayEnds in 9 days25%
- Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?No Hormuz Agreement$54K todayEnds in 12 days89%
- Mississippi Senate winner?Cindy Hyde-Smith$54K todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%
- Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?Yes$50K todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%
- Closest Senate race in 2026?Iowa$50K todayEnds Jan 3, 202716%
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes$50K todayEnds Jan 1, 20276%
- Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes$50K todayEnds Feb 1, 202760%
- Alaska Governor Election Winner Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins$49K todayEnds in 12 days88%
- New Hampshire Senate winner?Chris Pappas$49K todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
- Colorado Governor winner?Phil Weiser$49K todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an$47K todayEnds Nov 28, 202761%
- VA-05 House Election WinnerJohn McGuire (R)$47K todayEnds in 12 days63%
- What will Trump say during his rally in Florida?Transgender$47K todayEnds Nov 697%
- Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?Oil ≥ $85; D Senate$47K todayEnds in 12 days61%
- France declares state of emergency by...?December 31$45K todayEnds in 9 days19%
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?December 31$43K todayEnds in 9 days14%
- Arizona Governor winner?Katie Hobbs$42K todayEnds Nov 3, 202792%
- Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?65-89$41K todayEnds in 2 days44%
- Israel Election: Likud # of seats?20-24$40K todayEnds in 5 days42%
- Texas Governor margin of victoryAbbott, 1+ pts$39K todayEnds Nov 3, 202765%
- Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?December 31$38K todayEnds Jan 1, 202725%
- Texas Governor-Senate comboGreg Abbott and Ken Paxton win$38K todayEnds Nov 3, 202738%
- Montana Senate winner?Kurt Alme$37K todayEnds Nov 3, 202793%
- Vermont Governor winner?Phil Scott$34K todayEnds Nov 3, 202775%
- MO-02 House Election WinnerAnn Wagner (R)$33K todayEnds in 12 days65%
- Florida Senate margin of victoryMoody, 2+ pts$32K todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%