Politics Events
Market dataExplore markets from
Kalshi&
PolymarketTotal Events:3,559Observed times shown per event
KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:3,559
Observed times shown per event
All categories🏛️ Politics📈 Economics⚽ Sports₿ Crypto📊 AI / Tech🌍 World🎭 Culture📊 Climate🔬 Science📊 Other
3,559 results · 851–900Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? 🏛️ Politics | Cuba 4% | $393 | Jan 20, 2029 | View |
At least 28% 89% | $393 | Nov 29, 2027 | View | |
Yes 54% | $392 | Dec 31 | View | |
Above 3.80M 95% | $389 | Nov 3, 2027 | View | |
New York Governor margin of victory 🏛️ Politics | Hochul, 4+ pts 90% | $388 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
At least 44% 95% | $388 | Nov 3, 2027 | View | |
Gordon Zhang 94% | $386 | in 20h | View | |
Before Nov 1, 2026 1% | $385 | in 8 days | View | |
 UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory 🏛️ Politics | Republican 5-15% 29% | $385 | in 11 days | View |
Democratic VP Nominee 2028 🏛️ Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11% | $384 | Nov 8, 2028 | Compare |
Lula 99% | $384 | in 2 days | Compare | |
NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory 🏛️ Politics | Democrat 15-20% 32% | $383 | in 11 days | View |
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory 🏛️ Politics | Democrat 25-30% 21% | $382 | in 11 days | View |
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 25% | $377 | Jan 5, 2027 | Compare |
Mike Rogers (R) 71% | $377 | in 11 days | View | |
XRP 19% | $375 | Jan 21, 2029 | View | |
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 78% | $374 | Aug 22, 2028 | View | |
At least 7 days 96% | $374 | Jan 21, 2029 | Compare | |
Colima Governor Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 82% | $370 | Jun 7, 2027 | View |
Will US annex any territory in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 4% | $369 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
CA-09 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Josh Harder (D) 98% | $369 | in 11 days | Compare |
TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory 🏛️ Politics | Republican 5-10% 37% | $365 | in 11 days | View |
FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory 🏛️ Politics | Republican 20-25% 35% | $365 | in 11 days | View |
NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory 🏛️ Politics | Democrat 40-45% 38% | $365 | in 11 days | View |
Oklahoma Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Kevin Hern 98% | $364 | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
MN-03 House Election Margin of Victory 🏛️ Politics | Democrat 30-35% 32% | $364 | in 11 days | View |
Milton, ON Mayoral Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Gord Krantz 46% | $363 | in 2 days | Compare |
How many bills with Trump veto in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | At least 1 29% | $363 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Spain General Election: PP % of vote? 🏛️ Politics | 32-34% 31% | $362 | Nov 30 | Compare |
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Obafemi Hamzat 82% | $360 | Feb 7, 2027 | View |
America PAC 2026 total disbursements? 🏛️ Politics | At least 60 million dollars 94% | $360 | Feb 1, 2027 | View |
Toronto Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory? 🏛️ Politics | Chow 0-4% 33% | $359 | in 3 days | Compare |
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats? 🏛️ Politics | 8-9 63% | $357 | in 4 days | View |
Yes 29% | $355 | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 17% | $354 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Before Jan 1, 2027 52% | $353 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 34% | $353 | Dec 12 | View |
Avigdor Lieberman 24% | $351 | Oct 28, 2030 | View | |
Kansas Governor-Senate combo 🏛️ Politics | Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win 58% | $351 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
June 30, 2027 8% | $350 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
WI-03 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Rebecca Cooke (D) 77% | $349 | in 11 days | View |
Kitchener, ON Mayoral Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Berry Vrbanovic 97% | $349 | in 3 days | View |
Yes 9% | $348 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
NY-07 House Election Margin of Victory 🏛️ Politics | Democrat 55-60% 29% | $347 | in 11 days | View |
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Cheng Chao-fang 60% | $346 | Nov 29 | Compare |
Flavio Bolsonaro 100% | $345 | in 2 days | Compare | |
Republican 5-10% 32% | $345 | in 11 days | View | |
Marco Rubio 27% | $344 | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare | |
Yes 73% | $343 | in 2 days | View | |
Before Nov 3, 2026 1% | $340 | in 10 days | View |
- What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?Cuba$393 todayEnds Jan 20, 20294%
- Spanish general election: People's Party vote percentAt least 28%$393 todayEnds Nov 29, 202789%
- Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Yes$392 todayEnds Dec 3154%
- Michigan Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.80M$389 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
- New York Governor margin of victoryHochul, 4+ pts$388 todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
- TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percentAt least 44%$388 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
- Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election WinnerGordon Zhang$386 todayEnds in 20h94%
- Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?Before Nov 1, 2026$385 todayEnds in 8 days1%
- UT-04 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 5-15%$385 todayEnds in 11 days29%
- Democratic VP Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$384 todayEnds Nov 8, 202811%
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in AlagoasLula$384 todayEnds in 2 days99%
- NY-22 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 15-20%$383 todayEnds in 11 days32%
- OR-04 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%$382 todayEnds in 11 days21%
- Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Yes$377 todayEnds Jan 5, 202725%
- Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County WinnerMike Rogers (R)$377 todayEnds in 11 days71%
- Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?XRP$375 todayEnds Jan 21, 202919%
- Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?Alberto Núñez Feijóo$374 todayEnds Aug 22, 202878%
- How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?At least 7 days$374 todayEnds Jan 21, 202996%
- Colima Governor Election WinnerRosa María Bayardo Cabrera$370 todayEnds Jun 7, 202782%
- Will US annex any territory in 2026?Yes$369 todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%
- CA-09 House Election WinnerJosh Harder (D)$369 todayEnds in 11 days98%
- TX-03 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 5-10%$365 todayEnds in 11 days37%
- FL-19 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 20-25%$365 todayEnds in 11 days35%
- NY-14 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 40-45%$365 todayEnds in 11 days38%
- Oklahoma Senate winner?Kevin Hern$364 todayEnds Nov 3, 202798%
- MN-03 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%$364 todayEnds in 11 days32%
- Milton, ON Mayoral Election WinnerGord Krantz$363 todayEnds in 2 days46%
- How many bills with Trump veto in 2026?At least 1$363 todayEnds Jan 1, 202729%
- Spain General Election: PP % of vote?32-34%$362 todayEnds Nov 3031%
- Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerObafemi Hamzat$360 todayEnds Feb 7, 202782%
- America PAC 2026 total disbursements?At least 60 million dollars$360 todayEnds Feb 1, 202794%
- Toronto Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?Chow 0-4%$359 todayEnds in 3 days33%
- Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?8-9$357 todayEnds in 4 days63%
- Will the EU apply its blocking statute to U.S. sanctions on the ICC?Yes$355 todayEnds Jul 1, 202729%
- EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Yes$354 todayEnds Jan 1, 202717%
- Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?Before Jan 1, 2027$353 todayEnds Jan 1, 202752%
- Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?Yes$353 todayEnds Dec 1234%
- Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?Avigdor Lieberman$351 todayEnds Oct 28, 203024%
- Kansas Governor-Senate comboTy Masterson and Roger Marshall win$351 todayEnds Nov 3, 202758%
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?June 30, 2027$350 todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%
- WI-03 House Election WinnerRebecca Cooke (D)$349 todayEnds in 11 days77%
- Kitchener, ON Mayoral Election WinnerBerry Vrbanovic$349 todayEnds in 3 days97%
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes$348 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
- NY-07 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 55-60%$347 todayEnds in 11 days29%
- Hsinchu County Magistrate Election WinnerCheng Chao-fang$346 todayEnds Nov 2960%
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Mato GrossoFlavio Bolsonaro$345 todayEnds in 2 days100%
- GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Republican 5-10%$345 todayEnds in 11 days32%
- Who will be the Republican VP nominee in 2028?Marco Rubio$344 todayEnds Nov 7, 202827%
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Yes$343 todayEnds in 2 days73%
- Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?Before Nov 3, 2026$340 todayEnds in 10 days1%