AI / Tech Events
Market dataExplore markets from
Kalshi&
PolymarketTotal Events:3,441Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:3,441
Observed times shown per event
All categoriesποΈ Politicsπ Economicsβ½ SportsβΏ Cryptoπ AI / Techπ Worldπ Cultureπ Climateπ¬ Scienceπ Other
3,441 results Β· 101β150Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026? π Ai_tech | Lindsay Clancy 34% | $1K | Dec 31 | View |
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On) π Ai_tech | Meta 46% | $1K | Dec 1 | View |
Meta 33% | $1K | Dec 1 | View | |
45%+ 26% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026? π Ai_tech | 5+ 99% | $1K | in 9 days | View |
70% 41% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Second-best AI Lab end of October? π Ai_tech | Anthropic 84% | $1K | in 8 days | View |
OpenAI 69% | $1K | in 4 days | Compare | |
GitHub (3+ times) 89% | $1K | Jan 26, 2027 | View | |
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November? π Ai_tech | $0.75+ 44% | $1K | Dec 1 | View |
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1470+ 33% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
OpenAI 78% | $1K | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace 84% | $1K | in 13h | View | |
Capital One Mobile 81% | $1K | in 13h | View | |
Appleβs Market Cap end of 2026? π Ai_tech | $5.00-$5.50T 33% | $1K | Dec 31 | View |
MiniMax 71% | $1K | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Meta 23% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Deepseek IPO by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 67% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25? π Ai_tech | 675-725T 100% | $1K | in 3 days | View |
OpenAI resumes training by...? π Ai_tech | October 31 18% | $1K | in 9 days | View |
Clip-on device for clothing 8% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? π Ai_tech | Yes 94% | $1K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Anthropic 86% | $1K | in 8 days | Compare | |
#3 28% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Spotify headcount in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 7100 86% | $1K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On) π Ai_tech | Meta 35% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December? π Ai_tech | Moonshot 33% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...? π Ai_tech | October 31 52% | $1K | in 9 days | View |
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? π Ai_tech | Yes 8% | $992 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
OpenAIβs valuation end of October 2026? π Ai_tech | $1.30T+ 54% | $919 | in 8 days | View |
β $8 28% | $913 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 57% | $907 | in 9 days | View |
β $40 63% | $907 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic 79% | $897 | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Google 83% | $892 | in 8 days | Compare | |
MiniMax 89% | $885 | in 9 days | Compare | |
Highest score on Humanityβs Last Exam in 2026? π Ai_tech | 58%+ 57% | $882 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
1575 39% | $877 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1480+ 63% | $848 | Jun 30, 2027 | View |
Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __? π Ai_tech | $2.5B 92% | $843 | Dec 1 | View |
SSI public model released byβ¦? π Ai_tech | December 31 37% | $790 | in 9 days | Compare |
No release by November 1 97% | $779 | in 3 days | View | |
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026? π Ai_tech | β $7.00 49% | $773 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Above $50 billion 97% | $770 | May 12, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? π Ai_tech | $1.5T 86% | $763 | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
SpaceXβs Market Cap end of November 2026? π Ai_tech | $1.75-$2.00T 23% | $756 | Nov 30 | View |
Google 77% | $743 | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...? π Ai_tech | No release by October 31 93% | $735 | in 13h | View |
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? π Ai_tech | Chopsticks catch Starship? 69% | $719 | in 9 days | View |
42%+ 68% | $715 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?Lindsay Clancy$1K todayEnds Dec 3134%
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)Meta$1K todayEnds Dec 146%
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?Meta$1K todayEnds Dec 133%
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanityβs Last Exam Debut?45%+$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202726%
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?5+$1K todayEnds in 9 days99%
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?70%$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202741%
Second-best AI Lab end of October?Anthropic$1K todayEnds in 8 days84%
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?OpenAI$1K todayEnds in 4 days69%
What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?GitHub (3+ times)$1K todayEnds Jan 26, 202789%
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?$0.75+$1K todayEnds Dec 144%
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?1470+$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202733%
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of November?OpenAI$1K todayEnds Dec 178%
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace$1K todayEnds in 13h84%
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Capital One Mobile$1K todayEnds in 13h81%
Appleβs Market Cap end of 2026?$5.00-$5.50T$1K todayEnds Dec 3133%
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?MiniMax$1K todayEnds Dec 171%
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?Meta$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202723%
Deepseek IPO by...?December 31, 2027$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202767%
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?675-725T$1K todayEnds in 3 days100%
OpenAI resumes training by...?October 31$1K todayEnds in 9 days18%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?Clip-on device for clothing$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Yes$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202894%
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?Anthropic$1K todayEnds in 8 days86%
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?#3$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202728%
Spotify headcount in 2026Above 7100$1K todayEnds Mar 31, 202886%
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)Meta$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202735%
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?Moonshot$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202733%
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?October 31$1K todayEnds in 9 days52%
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Yes$992 todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%
OpenAIβs valuation end of October 2026?$1.30T+$919 todayEnds in 8 days54%
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?β $8$913 todayEnds Jan 1, 202728%
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?December 31$907 todayEnds in 9 days57%
What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?β $40$907 todayEnds Jan 1, 202763%
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?Anthropic$897 todayEnds Dec 179%
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)Google$892 todayEnds in 8 days83%
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?MiniMax$885 todayEnds in 9 days89%
Highest score on Humanityβs Last Exam in 2026?58%+$882 todayEnds Jan 1, 202757%
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?1575$877 todayEnds Jan 1, 202739%
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?1480+$848 todayEnds Jun 30, 202763%
Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __?$2.5B$843 todayEnds Dec 192%
SSI public model released by�December 31$790 todayEnds in 9 days37%
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?No release by November 1$779 todayEnds in 3 days97%
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?β $7.00$773 todayEnds Jan 1, 202749%
Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026Above $50 billion$770 todayEnds May 12, 202797%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.5T$763 todayEnds Jan 1, 202886%
SpaceXβs Market Cap end of November 2026?$1.75-$2.00T$756 todayEnds Nov 3023%
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?Google$743 todayEnds Dec 177%
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?No release by October 31$735 todayEnds in 13h93%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Chopsticks catch Starship?$719 todayEnds in 9 days69%
Highest Grok score on Humanityβs Last Exam in 2026?42%+$715 todayEnds Jan 1, 202768%