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KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:3,441
Observed times shown per event
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3,441 results · 201–250Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
  Top AI model this month 📊 Ai_tech | gemini-4-argon-high 89% | $338 | in 8 days | Compare |
Above $205 98% | $335 | Apr 27, 2027 | View | |
Hires 4% | $321 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic 93% | $318 | in 8 days | Compare | |
ChatGPT Full Outage by...? 📊 Ai_tech | November 30 18% | $314 | in 9 days | View |
December 31, 2027 61% | $310 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Meta headcount in 2026 📊 Ai_tech | Above 65000 93% | $309 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Erling Braut Haaland 78% | $290 | Dec 31 | View | |
Top Chinese AI company this month 📊 Ai_tech | Xiaomi 55% | $290 | in 8 days | View |
CATL 20% | $286 | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Alibaba 27% | $285 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Muse on Meta glasses by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 66% | $282 | in 9 days | View |
Third-best AI Lab end of November? 📊 Ai_tech | Meta 69% | $280 | Dec 1 | View |
Anthropic 61% | $279 | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Above 780 thousand 96% | $277 | Mar 31, 2028 | View | |
Health / Healthy 80% | $272 | Nov 9 | View | |
$8.5B 70% | $270 | in 10 days | View | |
Tesla Optimus released this year? 📊 Ai_tech | Before 2027 6% | $262 | Dec 31 | View |
Grok 5 released by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 39% | $260 | in 9 days | View |
Third-best AI Lab end of October? 📊 Ai_tech | Meta 92% | $256 | in 8 days | View |
OpenAI 61% | $247 | Dec 1 | View | |
#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026? 📊 Ai_tech | Stranger Things 31% | $243 | Dec 31 | View |
Google 63% | $235 | in 8 days | View | |
Anthropic 71% | $234 | Dec 1 | Compare | |
November 30 70% | $234 | in 8 days | View | |
Second-best AI Lab end of November? 📊 Ai_tech | Anthropic 41% | $233 | Dec 1 | View |
No release by October 31 97% | $231 | in 11h | View | |
$115 91% | $229 | in 7h | View | |
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 87% | $225 | Nov 30 | View |
$2.5B 92% | $223 | Dec 1 | View | |
When will any company achieve AGI? 📊 Ai_tech | Before Jan 1, 2030 81% | $222 | Jan 1, 2031 | View |
$0.60+ 90% | $214 | in 8 days | View | |
OpenAI 58% | $212 | Dec 1 | View | |
$345-$350 43% | $210 | in 7h | View | |
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai) 📊 Ai_tech | Claude 95% | $205 | in 8 days | View |
↑ $3.50 56% | $203 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 74% | $203 | Nov 16 | View |
Rubin (3+ times) 92% | $202 | Dec 2 | View | |
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 27% | $200 | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Muse Charm released by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 80% | $193 | Dec 16 | View |
Anthropic 35% | $192 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
$6.50+ 23% | $190 | Dec 1 | View | |
OpenAI 58% | $183 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI 94% | $183 | in 9 days | Compare | |
Payward announces bankruptcy by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 26% | $177 | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
April 30, 2027 35% | $173 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Microsoft 12% | $173 | in 9 days | View | |
Before 2028 66% | $166 | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price 📊 Ai_tech | $60+ 98% | $166 | Nov 19 | View |
Before 2027 8% | $166 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
- Top AI model this monthgemini-4-argon-high$338 todayEnds in 8 days89%
- Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026Above $205$335 todayEnds Apr 27, 202798%
- Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?Hires$321 todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?Anthropic$318 todayEnds in 8 days93%
- ChatGPT Full Outage by...?November 30$314 todayEnds in 9 days18%
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?December 31, 2027$310 todayEnds Jan 1, 202761%
- Meta headcount in 2026Above 65000$309 todayEnds Mar 31, 202893%
- Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026Erling Braut Haaland$290 todayEnds Dec 3178%
- Top Chinese AI company this monthXiaomi$290 todayEnds in 8 days55%
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CATL$286 todayEnds Jul 1, 202720%
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?Alibaba$285 todayEnds Jan 1, 202727%
- Muse on Meta glasses by...?December 31$282 todayEnds in 9 days66%
- Third-best AI Lab end of November?Meta$280 todayEnds Dec 169%
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?Anthropic$279 todayEnds Dec 161%
- Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026Above 780 thousand$277 todayEnds Mar 31, 202896%
- What will Mike Sicilia say during Oracle AI World keynote?Health / Healthy$272 todayEnds Nov 980%
- Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above __?$8.5B$270 todayEnds in 10 days70%
- Tesla Optimus released this year?Before 2027$262 todayEnds Dec 316%
- Grok 5 released by...?December 31$260 todayEnds in 9 days39%
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?Meta$256 todayEnds in 8 days92%
- Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?OpenAI$247 todayEnds Dec 161%
- #1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?Stranger Things$243 todayEnds Dec 3131%
- Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?Google$235 todayEnds in 8 days63%
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?Anthropic$234 todayEnds Dec 171%
- Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?November 30$234 todayEnds in 8 days70%
- Second-best AI Lab end of November?Anthropic$233 todayEnds Dec 141%
- Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?No release by October 31$231 todayEnds in 11h97%
- Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of October 19 above___?$115$229 todayEnds in 7h91%
- Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?December 31$225 todayEnds Nov 3087%
- Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __?$2.5B$223 todayEnds Dec 192%
- When will any company achieve AGI?Before Jan 1, 2030$222 todayEnds Jan 1, 203181%
- GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?$0.60+$214 todayEnds in 8 days90%
- Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?OpenAI$212 todayEnds Dec 158%
- Apple (AAPL) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?$345-$350$210 todayEnds in 7h43%
- Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)Claude$205 todayEnds in 8 days95%
- GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?↑ $3.50$203 todayEnds Jan 1, 202756%
- Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?December 31$203 todayEnds Nov 1674%
- What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?Rubin (3+ times)$202 todayEnds Dec 292%
- NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$200 todayEnds Jan 1, 202827%
- Muse Charm released by...?December 31$193 todayEnds Dec 1680%
- #2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)Anthropic$192 todayEnds Jan 1, 202735%
- GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?$6.50+$190 todayEnds Dec 123%
- Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?OpenAI$183 todayEnds Jan 1, 202758%
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?OpenAI$183 todayEnds in 9 days94%
- Payward announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$177 todayEnds Jan 1, 202826%
- Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...?April 30, 2027$173 todayEnds Jan 1, 202735%
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?Microsoft$173 todayEnds in 9 days12%
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?Before 2028$166 todayEnds Jan 1, 202866%
- GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price$60+$166 todayEnds Nov 1998%
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Before 2027$166 todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%