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PolymarketTotal Events:3,547
Observed times shown per event
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| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Next Press Secretary announced by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 60% | $26K | in 8 days | Compare |
Pennsylvania Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Josh Shapiro 98% | $25K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/19-10/25) ποΈ Politics | 7 99% | $25K | in 3 days | Compare |
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) ποΈ Politics | Above 15 98% | $24K | in 4 days | Compare |
FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro 2-4% 30% | $24K | in 2 days | View | |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? ποΈ Politics | December 31, 2027 42% | $24K | in 8 days | View |
TX-35 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Johnny Garcia (D) 66% | $23K | in 12 days | View |
Montana Senate winner? ποΈ Politics | Kurt Alme 92% | $23K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Next Press Secretary? ποΈ Politics | Anna Kelly 24% | $23K | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? ποΈ Politics | June 30, 2027 35% | $23K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ποΈ Politics | β€47 44% | $23K | in 11 days | View |
Next Prime Minister of Spain? ποΈ Politics | Alberto NΓΊΓ±ez FeijΓ³o 82% | $22K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
SC-01 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 61% | $22K | in 12 days | View |
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 24, 2026? ποΈ Politics | 38.8% 55% | $22K | in 1 day | View |
Texas Senate: Exact outcome ποΈ Politics | Talarico defeats Paxton 66% | $21K | Jan 3, 2028 | View |
Tennessee Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Marsha Blackburn 94% | $21K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Who will Trump meet with in 2026? ποΈ Politics | Vladimir Putin 84% | $21K | Dec 31 | Compare |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? ποΈ Politics | Yes 10% | $21K | Aug 1, 2027 | View |
Saudi airspace closed by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 18% | $20K | in 8 days | View |
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 ποΈ Politics | Melania Trump 14% | $19K | Apr 1, 2028 | View |
Marine Le Pen 90% | $19K | Apr 19, 2027 | Compare | |
No Agreement or Oil β₯ $80; D Senate 69% | $19K | in 12 days | View | |
Alaska Senate winner? (Party) ποΈ Politics | Democratic party 76% | $19K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Minnesota Senate margin of victory ποΈ Politics | Flanagan, 1+ pts 81% | $19K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Nevada State Senate winner? ποΈ Politics | Democratic party 94% | $18K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? ποΈ Politics | Larry Krasner 50% | $18K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026? ποΈ Politics | Yes 96% | $18K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Vermont Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Phil Scott 75% | $17K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Wisconsin Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | David Crowley 80% | $17K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas? ποΈ Politics | Save America Act 94% | $16K | Nov 10 | Compare |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? ποΈ Politics | Yes 7% | $16K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? ποΈ Politics | Democratic sweep 30% | $16K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Minnesota Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Amy Klobuchar 96% | $16K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)? ποΈ Politics | $75 or above 99% | $15K | in 11 days | View |
Nevada Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Aaron Ford 66% | $15K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Viktor OrbΓ‘n arrested by December 31? ποΈ Politics | June 30, 2027 64% | $15K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25) ποΈ Politics | Above 260 97% | $15K | in 4 days | View |
CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026? ποΈ Politics | 40-59 100% | $15K | Ending now | View |
Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80? ποΈ Politics | Oil β₯ $80; R Senate 32% | $15K | in 12 days | View |
Alabama Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Tommy Tuberville 95% | $14K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Connecticut Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Ned Lamont 97% | $14K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
New Mexico Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Deb Haaland 94% | $14K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
TX-34 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Vicente Gonzalez (D) 88% | $14K | in 12 days | View |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ποΈ Politics | Yes 12% | $14K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Will the SAVE Act become law? ποΈ Politics | Before Jan 4, 2027 3% | $14K | Jan 4, 2027 | Compare |
Colorado Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Phil Weiser 96% | $13K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? ποΈ Politics | Yes 20% | $13K | in 8 days | View |
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Below 4.9% 77% | $13K | Dec 31 | View |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 16% | $13K | in 8 days | Compare |
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31, 2028 26% | $12K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |

Next Press Secretary announced by...?December 31$26K todayEnds in 8 days60%
Pennsylvania Governor winner?Josh Shapiro$25K todayEnds Nov 3, 202798%
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/19-10/25) 7$25K todayEnds in 3 days99%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)Above 15$24K todayEnds in 4 days98%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of VictoryFlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro 2-4%$24K todayEnds in 2 days30%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?December 31, 2027$24K todayEnds in 8 days42%
TX-35 House Election WinnerJohnny Garcia (D)$23K todayEnds in 12 days66%
Montana Senate winner?Kurt Alme$23K todayEnds Nov 3, 202792%
Next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly$23K todayEnds Jan 1, 202824%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?June 30, 2027$23K todayEnds Jan 1, 202735%
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?β€47$23K todayEnds in 11 days44%
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Alberto NΓΊΓ±ez FeijΓ³o$22K todayEnds Mar 31, 202882%
SC-01 House Election WinnerJenny Costa Honeycutt (R)$22K todayEnds in 12 days61%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 24, 2026?38.8%$22K todayEnds in 1 day55%
Texas Senate: Exact outcomeTalarico defeats Paxton$21K todayEnds Jan 3, 202866%
Tennessee Governor winner?Marsha Blackburn$21K todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Vladimir Putin$21K todayEnds Dec 3184%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes$21K todayEnds Aug 1, 202710%
Saudi airspace closed by...?December 31$20K todayEnds in 8 days18%
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027Melania Trump$19K todayEnds Apr 1, 202814%
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Marine Le Pen$19K todayEnds Apr 19, 202790%
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?No Agreement or Oil β₯ $80; D Senate$19K todayEnds in 12 days69%
Alaska Senate winner? (Party)Democratic party$19K todayEnds Nov 3, 202776%
Minnesota Senate margin of victoryFlanagan, 1+ pts$19K todayEnds Nov 3, 202781%
Nevada State Senate winner?Democratic party$18K todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?Larry Krasner$18K todayEnds Jan 1, 202750%
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?Yes$18K todayEnds Jan 1, 202796%
Vermont Governor winner?Phil Scott$17K todayEnds Nov 3, 202775%
Wisconsin Governor winner?David Crowley$17K todayEnds Nov 3, 202780%
What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?Save America Act$16K todayEnds Nov 1094%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes$16K todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?Democratic sweep$16K todayEnds Nov 3, 202730%
Minnesota Governor winner?Amy Klobuchar$16K todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?$75 or above$15K todayEnds in 11 days99%
Nevada Governor winner?Aaron Ford$15K todayEnds Nov 3, 202766%
Viktor OrbΓ‘n arrested by December 31?June 30, 2027$15K todayEnds Jan 1, 202764%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)Above 260$15K todayEnds in 4 days97%
CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?40-59$15K todayEnds Ending now100%
Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?Oil β₯ $80; R Senate$15K todayEnds in 12 days32%
Alabama Governor winner?Tommy Tuberville$14K todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
Connecticut Governor winner?Ned Lamont$14K todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
New Mexico Governor winner?Deb Haaland$14K todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
TX-34 House Election WinnerVicente Gonzalez (D)$14K todayEnds in 12 days88%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$14K todayEnds Jan 1, 202712%
Will the SAVE Act become law?Before Jan 4, 2027$14K todayEnds Jan 4, 20273%
Colorado Governor winner?Phil Weiser$13K todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Yes$13K todayEnds in 8 days20%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 4.9%$13K todayEnds Dec 3177%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?December 31$13K todayEnds in 8 days16%
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 2028$12K todayEnds Jan 1, 202726%