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Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:3,547
Observed times shown per event
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Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?200+$12K todayEnds in 4 days95%
Khamenei # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?<5$12K todayEnds Awaiting result100%
Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?45-50%$12K todayEnds in 2 days39%
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?June 30, 2027$12K todayEnds Jan 1, 202714%
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?No Next Minister by Feb 28$11K todayEnds Mar 1, 202738%
Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?40-64$11K todayEnds in 3 days39%
Alaska Governor Election Winner Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins$11K todayEnds in 11 days88%
Michigan Governor winner?Jocelyn Benson$11K todayEnds Nov 3, 202793%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes$11K todayEnds Dec 16%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?December 31, 2026$11K todayEnds in 8 days35%
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?$0 / No Acquisition$11K todayEnds Jan 22, 202989%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?0$11K todayEnds in 9 days89%
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?Democratic sweep$11K todayEnds Nov 3, 202738%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?NicolΓ‘s Maduro$11K todayEnds Dec 3176%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place AbroadLula$11K todayEnds in 2 days77%
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)December 31$10K todayEnds in 8 days27%
When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?Before Jan 1, 2027$10K todayEnds Jan 1, 202786%
Nevada Governor winner?Aaron Ford$10K todayEnds Nov 3, 202766%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in ParΓ‘Lula$10K todayEnds in 2 days89%
When will FISA be reauthorized again?Before Apr 1, 2027$10K todayEnds Jan 1, 202748%
Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?Before 2027$10K todayEnds Jan 1, 20273%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)Above 3$10K todayEnds in 4 days98%
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?Democratic Sweep$10K todayEnds Nov 7, 202948%
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?No Next Minister by Feb 28$10K todayEnds Mar 1, 202736%
Who will be arrested before 2027?Ilhan Omar$10K todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?November 30$10K todayEnds in 8 days48%
VA-01 House Election WinnerShannon Taylor (D)$10K todayEnds in 11 days66%
Maryland Governor winner?Wes Moore$10K todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?December 31$9K todayEnds in 8 days3%
Will Trump be impeached?Before Jan 1, 2028$9K todayEnds Jan 1, 202866%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?December 31, 2027$9K todayEnds Jan 1, 202735%
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 2028$9K todayEnds Jan 1, 202720%
TX-23 House Election WinnerBrandon Herrera (R)$9K todayEnds in 11 days61%
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?Marine Le Pen$9K todayEnds May 30, 202853%
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?Yes$9K todayEnds in 2 days1%
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)Above 170$9K todayEnds in 4 days98%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 23, 2026?8.4%$9K todayEnds in 4h80%
Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, MaineDems sweep$8K todayEnds in 11 days53%
TX-12 House Election WinnerCraig Goldman (R)$8K todayEnds in 11 days96%
TX-15 House Election WinnerBobby Pulido (D)$8K todayEnds in 11 days87%
Florida Governor margin of victoryDonalds, 1+ pts$8K todayEnds Nov 3, 202780%
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?Pete Hegseth$8K todayEnds Jan 20, 202928%
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 202717%
Oklahoma Governor winner?Mike Mazzei$8K todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%
Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?December 31, 2026$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Pedro SΓ‘nchez out as PM of Spain by...?January 31, 2027$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 202761%
Houthis enter Aden by...?December 31$8K todayEnds in 8 days23%
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?Before 2027$8K todayEnds Jan 2, 20277%
Trump declares election interference national emergency? December 31$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 202727%