Politics Events
Market dataExplore markets from
Kalshi&
PolymarketTotal Events:3,549Observed times shown per event
KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:3,549
Observed times shown per event
All categories🏛️ Politics📈 Economics⚽ Sports₿ Crypto📊 AI / Tech🌍 World🎭 Culture📊 Climate🔬 Science📊 Other
3,549 results · 251–300Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Who will Trump pardon? 🏛️ Politics | Jared Kushner 68% | $5K | Jan 21, 2029 | View |
Before his term ends 19% | $5K | Jan 20, 2029 | View | |
 IN-08 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Mark Messmer (R) 94% | $5K | in 11 days | Compare |
China 80% | $5K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
VA-05 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | John McGuire (R) 62% | $5K | in 11 days | View |
Maine Senate margin of victory 🏛️ Politics | Jackson, 1+ pts 58% | $5K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Ilhan Omar arrested by...? 🏛️ Politics | December 31 20% | $5K | in 8 days | Compare |
Illinois Governor winner? 🏛️ Politics | JB Pritzker 97% | $5K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Jon Ossoff 53% | $5K | in 8 days | View | |
UAE 64% | $5K | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 92% | $5K | Apr 17, 2027 | Compare | |
Maine Governor winner? 🏛️ Politics | Hannah Pingree 95% | $5K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran? 🏛️ Politics | Before 2028 41% | $5K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Alaska Governor-Senate combo 🏛️ Politics | Democrats sweep 71% | $4K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Yes 10% | $4K | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 40% | $4K | in 4 days | View |
Before Jan 1, 2028 18% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
TX-06 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Jake Ellzey (R) 100% | $4K | in 11 days | Compare |
WA-05 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Michael Baumgartner (R) 84% | $4K | in 11 days | Compare |
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? 🏛️ Politics | ↓ 7% 56% | $4K | in 8 days | View |
MI-05 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Tim Walberg (R) 95% | $4K | in 11 days | Compare |
Michigan Governor-Senate combo 🏛️ Politics | Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win 65% | $4K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Tennessee Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Bill Hagerty 96% | $4K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | December 31, 2027 22% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
British Columbia General Election: 2nd Place 🏛️ Politics | NDP 94% | $4K | in 1 day | Compare |
Yes 43% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
2028 popular vote margin of victory? 🏛️ Politics | Democratic by 9.0% or more 23% | $4K | May 6, 2029 | View |
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31? 🏛️ Politics | ↓ 30% 69% | $4K | in 8 days | View |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 2% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 69% | $4K | in 11 days | View | |
Serbian parliamentary election winner? 🏛️ Politics | SNS-led list 70% | $4K | Jun 30, 2027 | View |
Below 190 36% | $4K | in 11 days | View | |
Yes 37% | $4K | Nov 30 | Compare | |
Which bills will become law in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Export-control chip security 34% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems 42% | $4K | in 12 days | View | |
Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place 🏛️ Politics | Likud 67% | $4K | in 4 days | Compare |
New Hampshire Senate margin of victory 🏛️ Politics | Pappas, 2+ pts 85% | $4K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? 🏛️ Politics | Before Jan 1, 2027 71% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Minnesota State Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Democratic party 87% | $4K | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Below 36% 84% | $4K | Jan 7, 2027 | Compare | |
Maine 36% | $4K | Jan 3, 2027 | View | |
NC-01 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Don Davis (D) 82% | $4K | in 11 days | View |
Above 15 90% | $4K | in 11 days | Compare | |
OH-10 House Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Mike Turner (R) 70% | $3K | in 11 days | View |
Ossoff 9-12% 26% | $3K | in 11 days | View | |
President 56% | $3K | Dec 31, 2027 | View | |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Yes 16% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Yashar 67% | $3K | Jun 30, 2027 | View | |
Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share? 🏛️ Politics | 40-45% 29% | $3K | in 2 days | Compare |
December 31 6% | $3K | in 8 days | View |
- Who will Trump pardon?Jared Kushner$5K todayEnds Jan 21, 202968%
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?Before his term ends$5K todayEnds Jan 20, 202919%
- IN-08 House Election WinnerMark Messmer (R)$5K todayEnds in 11 days94%
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?China$5K todayEnds Jan 1, 202780%
- VA-05 House Election WinnerJohn McGuire (R)$5K todayEnds in 11 days62%
- Maine Senate margin of victoryJackson, 1+ pts$5K todayEnds Nov 3, 202758%
- Ilhan Omar arrested by...?December 31$5K todayEnds in 8 days20%
- Illinois Governor winner?JB Pritzker$5K todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff$5K todayEnds in 8 days53%
- Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?UAE$5K todayEnds Jan 1, 202864%
- 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Jean-Luc Mélenchon$5K todayEnds Apr 17, 202792%
- Maine Governor winner?Hannah Pingree$5K todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?Before 2028$5K todayEnds Jan 1, 202741%
- Alaska Governor-Senate comboDemocrats sweep$4K todayEnds Nov 3, 202771%
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202810%
- Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Yes$4K todayEnds in 4 days40%
- Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?Before Jan 1, 2028$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202718%
- TX-06 House Election WinnerJake Ellzey (R)$4K todayEnds in 11 days100%
- WA-05 House Election WinnerMichael Baumgartner (R)$4K todayEnds in 11 days84%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7%$4K todayEnds in 8 days56%
- MI-05 House Election WinnerTim Walberg (R)$4K todayEnds in 11 days95%
- Michigan Governor-Senate comboJocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win$4K todayEnds Nov 3, 202765%
- Tennessee Senate winner?Bill Hagerty$4K todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?December 31, 2027$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202722%
- British Columbia General Election: 2nd PlaceNDP$4K todayEnds in 1 day94%
- Will the UK propose extending the BBC licence fee to online video in 2026?Yes$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202743%
- 2028 popular vote margin of victory?Democratic by 9.0% or more$4K todayEnds May 6, 202923%
- Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 30%$4K todayEnds in 8 days69%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
- Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate$4K todayEnds in 11 days69%
- Serbian parliamentary election winner?SNS-led list$4K todayEnds Jun 30, 202770%
- Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Below 190$4K todayEnds in 11 days36%
- Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Yes$4K todayEnds Nov 3037%
- Which bills will become law in 2026?Export-control chip security$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202734%
- Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate ComboBolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems$4K todayEnds in 12 days42%
- Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd PlaceLikud$4K todayEnds in 4 days67%
- New Hampshire Senate margin of victoryPappas, 2+ pts$4K todayEnds Nov 3, 202785%
- When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?Before Jan 1, 2027$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202771%
- Minnesota State Senate winner?Democratic party$4K todayEnds Nov 3, 202787%
- How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?Below 36%$4K todayEnds Jan 7, 202784%
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?Maine$4K todayEnds Jan 3, 202736%
- NC-01 House Election WinnerDon Davis (D)$4K todayEnds in 11 days82%
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)Above 15$4K todayEnds in 11 days90%
- OH-10 House Election WinnerMike Turner (R)$3K todayEnds in 11 days70%
- Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Ossoff 9-12%$3K todayEnds in 11 days26%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?President$3K todayEnds Dec 31, 202756%
- Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Yes$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202716%
- Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?Yashar$3K todayEnds Jun 30, 202767%
- Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?40-45%$3K todayEnds in 2 days29%
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?December 31$3K todayEnds in 8 days6%