We track every open market on 
Kalshi and 
Polymarket, match the same question across venues, and show where prices agree, disagree and move.
Open markets tracked
11,618
$8.2B all-time volume on the markets open now
Live 2026 Midterms
Polls open in11days13hrs27min15sec
Kalshi and 
Polymarket, side by side, for every Senate, House and governor race. Markets expect 5 Senate seats to change party.
Projected Senate
Faded ends are seats not up this year. Each race counts for the party the two venues favour on average.
RatingDemocrats blue, republicans red.
Kalshi and Polymarket disagreeKalshiPolymarket
The same outcome on both venues, with settlement rules checked by a person. Busiest markets first; each row shows how old its prices are.
64¢67¢12¢13¢13¢15¢15¢16¢26¢27¢63¢64¢29¢31¢35¢37¢Showing 8 of 20 verified price gaps. See every matched market in the scanner
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?5% or above · 97¢ → 54¢−43 ptsHow high will BTC get in October?Above $87,500.00 · 54¢ → 29¢−25 ptsWNBA: 2026 ChampionAtlanta Dream · 57¢ → 79¢+22 ptsWomen's Pro Basketball ChampionAtlanta · 57¢ → 78¢+21 ptsWho will be the next James Bond?Jack Lowden · 38¢ → 57¢+20 ptsGame 1: Tampa Bay vs MilwaukeeMilwaukee at 62¢Closes in 4dNew England vs ChicagoChicago at 60¢Closes in 2dNew England vs Chicago: SpreadChicago wins by over 1.5 points at 57¢Closes in 2dUS-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 22 at 98¢Closes in 6hNew England vs Chicago: TouchdownsD'Andre Swift: 1+ at 57¢Closes in 2dLiveConnected to Kalshi and PolymarketKalshiPolymarket
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed Decision in October? 📈 Economics | No change 94% | $3.6M | in 6 days | Compare |
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 🏛️ Politics | Democrats Sweep 69% | $2.3M | in 12 days | Compare |
Cavaliers vs. 76ers ⚽ Sports | O/U 221.5 82% | $1.8M | in 1h | View |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? 🏛️ Politics | October 22 98% | $1.8M | in 6h | View |
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 🏛️ Politics | J.D. Vance 44% | $1.7M | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan ⚽ Sports | AFC Bournemouth 100% | $1.6M | Ending now | View |
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 ⚽ Sports | Harry Kane 76% | $1.6M | in 4 days | Compare |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 100% | $1.3M | Ending now | View | |
Both Teams Beat Roshan 1% | $1.2M | in 2h | View | |
AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5 100% | $1.1M | Ending now | View | |
Nuggets vs. Thunder ⚽ Sports | O/U 221.5 82% | $1.0M | in 4h | View |
Patriots vs. Bears ⚽ Sports | O/U 24.5 97% | $984K | in 3h | View |
Gadi Eizenkot 48% | $977K | in 5 days | Compare | |
NBA: 2027 Champion ⚽ Sports | Oklahoma City Thunder 23% | $930K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% | $818K | in 1h | View | |
Next French Presidential Election 🏛️ Politics | Marine Le Pen 46% | $818K | Apr 19, 2027 | Compare |
280-299 54% | $806K | in 18h | View | |
Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC) 100% | $765K | Ending now | Compare | |
Barcelona 24% | $728K | May 30, 2027 | Compare | |
Which party will win the House in 2026? 🏛️ Politics | Democratic Party 93% | $722K | in 12 days | View |
New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston ⚽ Sports | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown 50% | $679K | Awaiting result | View |
Juventus FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% | $626K | Awaiting result | View | |
2,400 0% | $591K | Awaiting result | View | |
Texas Senate Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | James Talarico (D) 68% | $535K | in 12 days | Compare |
↑ 90,000 55% | $512K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 100% | $453K | Ending now | View | |
Flávio Bolsonaro <4% 42% | $428K | in 3 days | View | |
↑ 82,500 82% | $428K | in 9 days | Compare | |
↑ 82,000 84% | $423K | in 3 days | Compare | |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 🏛️ Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% | $411K | Nov 8, 2028 | Compare |
Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana Game Spread +/-5.5 50% | $409K | in 7 days | View | |
Ethereum price on October 22? ₿ Crypto | 2,300-2,400 100% | $401K | Ending now | Compare |
Liverpool FC 46% | $384K | in 3 days | Compare | |
AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC ⚽ Sports | AFC Ajax 100% | $379K | Ending now | View |
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% | $369K | in 1h | View | |
December 31 35% | $368K | in 9 days | View | |
Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% | $367K | in 6 days | View | |
Bitcoin above ___ on October 23? ₿ Crypto | 72,000 100% | $359K | in 18h | Compare |
AFC Ajax O/U 0.5 100% | $359K | Ending now | View | |
Fort Worth: Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov Match O/U 23.5 100% | $338K | in 7 days | View | |
↓ 80,000 8% | $328K | in 6h | Compare | |
2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% | $326K | Ending now | View | |
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner 🏛️ Politics | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 69% | $321K | in 3 days | View |
↑ $100 100% | $278K | in 9 days | View | |
Both Teams to Score 100% | $276K | Ending now | View | |
Crystal Palace FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% | $271K | Ending now | View | |
Olympiakós SFP 100% | $270K | Ending now | View | |
Yes 5% | $267K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 100% | $265K | Ending now | Compare | |
Next Prime Minister of Serbia? 🏛️ Politics | Aleksandar Vučić 72% | $261K | in 3 days | View |
Fed Decision in October?No change$3.6M todayEnds in 6 days94%Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats Sweep$2.3M todayEnds in 12 days69%Cavaliers vs. 76ersO/U 221.5$1.8M todayEnds in 1h82%US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 22$1.8M todayEnds in 6h98%Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance$1.7M todayEnds Nov 7, 202844%AFC Bournemouth vs. AC MilanAFC Bournemouth$1.6M todayEnds Ending now100%Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Harry Kane$1.6M todayEnds in 4 days76%TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique LyonnaisTSG 1899 Hoffenheim$1.3M todayEnds Ending now100%Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group BBoth Teams Beat Roshan$1.2M todayEnds in 2h1%AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan - More MarketsAFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5$1.1M todayEnds Ending now100%Nuggets vs. ThunderO/U 221.5$1.0M todayEnds in 4h82%Patriots vs. BearsO/U 24.5$984K todayEnds in 3h97%Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot$977K todayEnds in 5 days48%NBA: 2027 ChampionOklahoma City Thunder$930K todayEnds Jul 1, 202723%Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5$818K todayEnds in 1h100%Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen$818K todayEnds Apr 19, 202746%Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?280-299$806K todayEnds in 18h54%Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FCDraw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC)$765K todayEnds Ending now100%UEFA Champions League: 2027 ChampionBarcelona$728K todayEnds May 30, 202724%Which party will win the House in 2026?Democratic Party$722K todayEnds in 12 days93%New Mexico State vs. Sam HoustonKickoff or Punt Return Touchdown$679K todayEnds Awaiting result50%Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 - More MarketsJuventus FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5$626K todayEnds Awaiting result100%Ethereum above ___ on October 22?2,400$591K todayEnds Awaiting result0%Texas Senate Election WinnerJames Talarico (D)$535K todayEnds in 12 days68%What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↑ 90,000$512K todayEnds Jan 1, 202755%AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e BenficaSport Lisboa e Benfica$453K todayEnds Ending now100%Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro <4%$428K todayEnds in 3 days42%What price will Bitcoin hit in October?↑ 82,500$428K todayEnds in 9 days82%What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?↑ 82,000$423K todayEnds in 3 days84%Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$411K todayEnds Nov 8, 202817%Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco ComesanaCali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana Game Spread +/-5.5$409K todayEnds in 7 days50%Ethereum price on October 22?2,300-2,400$401K todayEnds Ending now100%Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FCLiverpool FC$384K todayEnds in 3 days46%AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BCAFC Ajax$379K todayEnds Ending now100%Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMap 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5$369K todayEnds in 1h100%NATO x Russia military clash by...?December 31$368K todayEnds in 9 days35%Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon NakashimaLyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5$367K todayEnds in 6 days100%Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?72,000$359K todayEnds in 18h100%AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC - More MarketsAFC Ajax O/U 0.5$359K todayEnds Ending now100%Fort Worth: Gabriel Debru vs Alex RybakovFort Worth: Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov Match O/U 23.5$338K todayEnds in 7 days100%What price will Bitcoin hit on October 22?↓ 80,000$328K todayEnds in 6h8%TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais - More Markets2nd Half O/U 0.5$326K todayEnds Ending now100%Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia$321K todayEnds in 3 days69%What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?↑ $100$278K todayEnds in 9 days100%AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica - More MarketsBoth Teams to Score$276K todayEnds Ending now100%Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC - More MarketsCrystal Palace FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5$271K todayEnds Ending now100%Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta PrahaOlympiakós SFP$270K todayEnds Ending now100%Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes$267K todayEnds Jan 1, 20275%Lillestrøm SK vs. Real Sociedad de FútbolReal Sociedad de Fútbol$265K todayEnds Ending now100%Next Prime Minister of Serbia?Aleksandar Vučić$261K todayEnds in 3 days72%