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PolymarketTotal Events:489
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| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026? π Ai_tech | Microsoft 45% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
In which month will Anthropic IPO? π Ai_tech | November 2026 73% | $4K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1440+ 63% | $4K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? π Ai_tech | Above 120 99% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc? π Ai_tech | Christoph Pachler 22% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1430+ 88% | $4K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
Will Tesla release Optimus by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 11% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
SpaceXβs Market Cap end of November 2026? π Ai_tech | $2.00-$2.25T 35% | $3K | Nov 30 | View |
No release by December 27 30% | $3K | in 4 days | View | |
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? π Ai_tech | November 9βNovember 15 19% | $3K | in 4 days | View |
Anthropic 69% | $3K | in 8 days | View | |
Deepseek IPO by...? π Ai_tech | September 30, 2027 66% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1500+ 95% | $3K | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
β $45 41% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026? π Ai_tech | $1.75-$2.00T 40% | $3K | in 9 days | View |
OpenRouter token usage week of October 19? π Ai_tech | 185-195T 42% | $3K | in 3 days | View |
Anthropic 75% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Longest GitHub critical incident in October? π Ai_tech | 3-6 hours 81% | $3K | in 9 days | View |
Google 62% | $2K | in 8 days | Compare | |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? π Ai_tech | Yes 94% | $2K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Which companies will be acquired this year? π Ai_tech | Ornn 19% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
December 31, 2027 64% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Saudi Arabia 23% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? π Ai_tech | Before Dec 31, 2026 48% | $2K | Nov 13 | Compare |
Nvidiaβs Market Cap end of 2026? π Ai_tech | $5.00-$5.50T 28% | $2K | Dec 31 | View |
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 27% | $2K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
β $40 59% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
SpaceX Starship 15th launch? π Ai_tech | Before Dec 11, 2026 93% | $2K | Dec 11 | Compare |
Hodge Conjecture 36% | $2K | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
OpenAI 13% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Anthropic 91% | $2K | in 9 days | Compare | |
Will Claude go down on __ days in October? π Ai_tech | <5 76% | $2K | in 9 days | View |
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October? π Ai_tech | $5.50+ 55% | $2K | in 9 days | View |
50%+ 99% | $2K | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Capital One Mobile 65% | $2K | in 17h | View | |
β $15 54% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Best Chinese AI Company end of November? π Ai_tech | Xiaomi 31% | $1K | Dec 1 | View |
CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...? π Ai_tech | March 31, 2027 33% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
OpenAI 66% | $1K | in 4 days | Compare | |
Yes 98% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Spotify total monthly active users in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 790 million 95% | $1K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
β $15 40% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Siri 96% | $1K | Nov 12 | View | |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? π Ai_tech | Yes 7% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Second-best AI Lab end of October? π Ai_tech | Anthropic 84% | $1K | in 8 days | View |
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October? π Ai_tech | $1.00-$1.25 77% | $1K | in 9 days | View |
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On) π Ai_tech | Meta 35% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026? π Ai_tech | Lindsay Clancy 34% | $1K | Dec 31 | View |
Anthropic 94% | $1K | in 9 days | Compare | |
50%+ 26% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Microsoft$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202745%
In which month will Anthropic IPO?November 2026$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202873%
Next GPT Terra Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?1440+$4K todayEnds Jul 1, 202763%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?Above 120$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202799%
Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?Christoph Pachler$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202722%
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?1430+$4K todayEnds Jul 1, 202788%
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?December 31$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202711%
SpaceXβs Market Cap end of November 2026?$2.00-$2.25T$3K todayEnds Nov 3035%
When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?No release by December 27$3K todayEnds in 4 days30%
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?November 9βNovember 15$3K todayEnds in 4 days19%
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Anthropic$3K todayEnds in 8 days69%
Deepseek IPO by...?September 30, 2027$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202766%
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?1500+$3K todayEnds Jul 1, 202795%
What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?β $45$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202741%
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?$1.75-$2.00T$3K todayEnds in 9 days40%
OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?185-195T$3K todayEnds in 3 days42%
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Anthropic$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202775%
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?3-6 hours$3K todayEnds in 9 days81%
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?Google$2K todayEnds in 8 days62%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Yes$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202894%
Which companies will be acquired this year?Ornn$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202719%
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202764%
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?Saudi Arabia$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202723%
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?Before Dec 31, 2026$2K todayEnds Nov 1348%
Nvidiaβs Market Cap end of 2026?$5.00-$5.50T$2K todayEnds Dec 3128%
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202827%
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?β $40$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202759%
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?Before Dec 11, 2026$2K todayEnds Dec 1193%
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?Hodge Conjecture$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202836%
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?OpenAI$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202713%
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Anthropic$2K todayEnds in 9 days91%
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?<5$2K todayEnds in 9 days76%
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?$5.50+$2K todayEnds in 9 days55%
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?50%+$2K todayEnds Jul 1, 202799%
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Capital One Mobile$2K todayEnds in 17h65%
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?β $15$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202754%
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?Xiaomi$1K todayEnds Dec 131%
CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?March 31, 2027$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202733%
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?OpenAI$1K todayEnds in 4 days66%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202798%
Spotify total monthly active users in 2026Above 790 million$1K todayEnds Mar 31, 202895%
What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?β $15$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202740%
What will Apple say during their next earnings call?Siri$1K todayEnds Nov 1296%
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
Second-best AI Lab end of October?Anthropic$1K todayEnds in 8 days84%
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?$1.00-$1.25$1K todayEnds in 9 days77%
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)Meta$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202735%
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?Lindsay Clancy$1K todayEnds Dec 3134%
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?Anthropic$1K todayEnds in 9 days94%
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanityβs Last Exam Debut?50%+$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202726%